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Incremental Value of Blood-Based Markers of Liver Fibrosis in Cardiovascular Risk Stratification

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Georgios Georgiopoulos, Dr Simon Tual-ChalotORCiD, Dr Kateryna Sopova, Professor Konstantinos StellosORCiD, Professor Kimon Stamatelopoulos

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND).


Abstract

© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Endocrine Society. Context: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with advanced liver fibrosis is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Objective: This work aimed to examine if markers of vascular injury mediate the link between liver fibrosis noninvasive tests (LFNITs) and CVD events, and to compare the incremental predictive value of LFNITs over established CVD risk scores. Methods: Consecutively recruited individuals (n = 1692) with or without clinically overt coronary artery disease (CAD) from the Athens Cardiometabolic Cohort, were analyzed. Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), NAFLD Fibrosis score (NFS), and BARD score were evaluated for direct and indirect associations with indices of subclinical arterial injury including carotid maximal wall thickness (maxWT) and pulse wave velocity (PWV) and with a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) that consisted of cardiac death, acute myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization (39-month median follow-up). Results: FIB-4 was the only LFNIT that was consistently associated with multiple markers of vascular injury, irrespective of CAD presence and after controlling for traditional risk factors, surrogates of insulin resistance, or obesity (adjusted P < .05 for all). FIB-4 was also independently associated with CAD presence (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 6.55; 3.48-12.3; P < .001). Increased FIB-4 greater than 2.67 was incrementally associated with an increased risk for MACE (OR [95% CI] 2.00 [1.12-3.55], ΔAUC [95% CI] 0.014 [0.002-0.026]). These associations were mediated by maxWT rather than PWV. Only FIB-4 ( >3.25) was independently and incrementally associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted P < 0.05). Conclusion: In a cardiometabolically diverse population, the incremental associations of LFNITs with CVD outcomes were mediated by atherosclerotic burden rather than arterial stiffening. FIB-4 consistently demonstrated associations with all study end points. These findings provide mechanistic insights and support the clinical applicability of FIB-4 in CVD prevention.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Georgiopoulos G, Athanasopoulos S, Mavraganis G, Konstantaki C, Papaioannou M, Delialis D, Angelidakis L, Sachse M, Papoutsis D, Cavlan B, Tual-Chalot S, Zervas G, Sopova K, Mitrakou A, Stellos K, Stamatelopoulos K

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism

Year: 2025

Volume: 110

Issue: 4

Pages: 1115-1127

Print publication date: 01/04/2025

Online publication date: 11/09/2024

Acceptance date: 05/09/2024

Date deposited: 09/04/2025

ISSN (print): 0021-972X

ISSN (electronic): 1945-7197

Publisher: Endocrine Society

URL: https://doi.org/10.1210/clinem/dgae619

DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgae619

Data Access Statement: Data are available at Department of Clinical Therapeutics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, on reasonable request from the corresponding author.

PubMed id: 39257198


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
British Heart Foundation (PG/23/11093)
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)
Deutsche Herzstiftung (German Heart Foundation) research scholarship
European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (MODVASC, grant agreement No. 759248)
Health + Life Science Alliance Heidelberg Mannheim
Helmholtz Association
German Research Foundation Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) (CRC1366 C07, project No. 394046768)
Royal Society (RG\R1\241197)

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