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Whither the price of coffee? An analysis of trends and shocks since the coffee crisis.

Lookup NU author(s): Professor Atanu Ghoshray

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).

Abstract

This short paper examines two potent issues that affect coffee producers worldwide.First, we estimate whether the real price of coffee received by producers are decliningover time, making the coffee growers worse off. Secondly, we estimate how long ittakes for exogenous shocks to dissipate, so that farmers can be better informed tomanage volatile coffee prices. We find no evidence of any prevalent declining trend,and the time taken for a price shock to dissipate by half can vary widely from 5 to18 months for individual coffee prices.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Ghoshray A, Mise E

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Empirical Economics

Year: 2025

Pages: epub ahead of print

Online publication date: 18/02/2025

Acceptance date: 22/01/2025

Date deposited: 03/03/2025

ISSN (print): 0377-7332

ISSN (electronic): 1435-8921

Publisher: Springer Nature

URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-025-02716-1

DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02716-1

Data Access Statement: The data, kindly provided by the International Coffee Organisation, (ICO) London, can be made available on request.

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