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Assessing the spatial transferability of mode choice models: A case of shared electric mobility hubs (eHUBS) in Amsterdam and Manchester

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Gustav BosehansORCiD, Emerita Professor Margaret Carol Bell CBE

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

© 2024Electric mobility hubs (eHUBS) represent an innovative approach to providing diverse shared electric transportation options, aimed at curbing private car use, and mitigating associated environmental impacts. Assessing the impact of eHUBS on travel choices across different cities requires significant resource and time investment due to the need for localized data collection and model development. This paper proposes a potential solution to this challenge by investigating the transferability of mode choice models originally developed for eHUBS in Amsterdam to predict behaviour towards eHUBS in Manchester. Multinomial Logit (MNL) and mixed logit models were transferred using four different procedures, and their effectiveness was evaluated using three assessment measures. The findings indicate that a scaled mixed logit model with an updated Alternative Specific Constant (ASC) outperforms other models in terms of its transfer effectiveness, both for disaggregate and aggregate assessment measures. The interplay between transfer procedures and assessment measures also was examined, with results indicating enhancements in disaggregate transferability measures with the 'scaling' transfer procedure, while 'updating the Alternative Specific Constants (ASCs)' improved predictions of aggregate mode shares. Following the analysis, the paper presents an in-depth discussion to provide a nuanced understanding of transferability and thus offers valuable insights for researchers planning future studies and practical considerations for policymakers.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Kavta K, Bosehans G, Bell MC, Liao F, Correia GHDA, Dissanayake D

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Transport Policy

Year: 2024

Volume: 156

Pages: 101-111

Print publication date: 01/09/2024

Online publication date: 23/07/2024

Acceptance date: 19/07/2024

Date deposited: 12/08/2024

ISSN (print): 0967-070X

ISSN (electronic): 1879-310X

Publisher: Elsevier Ltd

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.07.017

DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.07.017

Data Access Statement: The authors do not have permission to share data.


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
EU-funded eHUBs project (Sponsor: INTERREG NWE, Project number: NWE 826).

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