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Failure Prediction of Clay Embankments Subject to Weather-Driven Deterioration

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Peter Helm

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).


Abstract

Embankments have been widely used in the construction of transportation and flood defense infrastructure. Embankments constructed from clays experience a suite of weather-driven deterioration processes that lead to a progressive loss of hydromechanical performance that eventually leads to failures whose consequences can be severe and costly. This study aimed to predict the time to failure of aging, deteriorating clay embankments supporting transportation infrastructure. A multi-phase numerical modeling approach developed to simulate the long-term, weather-driven hydromechanical behavior of clay embankments was used to model and simulate the behavior of a number of well-documented embankment failure case histories with known service life and available information to derive the necessary soil properties and climate records. Numerical models were developed for a total of 34 case studies, and numerical simulations were performed to predict the time to failure of the embankments due to progressive, long-term, weather-driven deterioration. Predictions compared wellwith actual times to failure reported for the simulated case studies. Further, geometries of modeled slides compared well with those measured for actual slides. The models offered insights into the conditions associated with failure, such as displacement patterns and pore pressure conditions. It was observed that as near-surface soil experiences cycles of wetting and drying, and accompanying cycles of swelling and shrinkage, irrecoverable swelling accumulates with time causing swelling-induced slides. Overall, the numerical modeling approach was proven effective in producing data necessary to develop deterioration models that could improve infrastructure asset management.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Morsy A, Helm P

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering

Year: 2024

Volume: 150

Issue: 12

Print publication date: 01/12/2024

Online publication date: 10/10/2024

Acceptance date: 19/07/2024

Date deposited: 13/10/2024

ISSN (print): 1090-0241

ISSN (electronic): 1943-5606

Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers

URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/JGGEFK.GTENG-12842

DOI: 10.1061/JGGEFK.GTENG-12842

ePrints DOI: 10.57711/vtms-0j66

Data Access Statement: Data presented in this paper are accessible through the data set of Morsy and Helm (2024), Newcastle University. DOI: 10.25405/data.ncl.26349286. Some or all models or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.


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Funding

Funder referenceFunder name
Assessment, Costing and Enhancement of Long-Life, Long-Linear Assets (ACHILLES) programme grant (EP/R034575/1), funded by EPSRC
California State University Transportation Consortium (CSUTC) though project Nos. 2326, 2438, and 2457
Research Hub for Decarbonised Adaptable and Resilient Transport Infrastructures (DARe) funded by EPSRC & DfT (EP/Y024257/1)

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