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Lookup NU author(s): Dr Fabrice StephensonORCiD
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
© 2023 The Authors. The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature as a state space where pathways improving nature toward a frontier can be represented, ii) mutually reinforcing key feedbacks of social-ecological systems that are important for nature conservation and human wellbeing, iii) indicators of multiple knowledge systems describing the evolution of complex social-ecological dynamics. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in the review, screening, and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature's contributions to people, and quality of life.
Author(s): Kim H, Peterson GD, Cheung WWL, Ferrier S, Alkemade R, Arneth A, Kuiper JJ, Okayasu S, Pereira L, Acosta LA, Chaplin-Kramer R, den Belder E, Eddy TD, Johnson JA, Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen S, Kok MTJ, Leadley P, Leclere D, Lundquist CJ, Rondinini C, Scholes RJ, Schoolenberg MA, Shin Y-J, Stehfest E, Stephenson F, Visconti P, van Vuuren D, Wabnitz CCC, Jose Alava J, Cuadros-Casanova I, Davies KK, Gasalla MA, Halouani G, Harfoot M, Hashimoto S, Hickler T, Hirsch T, Kolomytsev G, Miller BW, Ohashi H, Gabriela Palomo M, Popp A, Paco Remme R, Saito O, Rashid Sumalia U, Willcock S, Pereira HM
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: Global Environmental Change
Year: 2023
Volume: 82
Print publication date: 01/09/2023
Online publication date: 12/06/2023
Acceptance date: 02/05/2023
Date deposited: 22/11/2023
ISSN (print): 0959-3780
ISSN (electronic): 1872-9495
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102681
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102681
Data Access Statement: The primary data used in this article are published as reports by IPBES and PBL agency and are cited and listed as sources and references.
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